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Red2
33060.7
15440.5
20902.1
Blue1
28531.0
24441.0
24450.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2853
#18
1.00.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3306
#11
0.70.3
0.70.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2444
#14
1.00.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1544
#22
0.50.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2445
#12
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End