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Red5
19200.9
24371.8
24651.0
Blue4
24590.9
23481.8
24550.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32014567854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.80.1
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.00.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2455
#28
0.90.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1920
#20
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2459
#23
0.90.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End