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Red0
24670.2
33060.7
24382.0
Blue0
19200.9
30081.0
25040.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210468101200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3008
#13
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3306
#11
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1920
#20
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2467
#24
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2504
#17
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End