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Red2
23481.8
24770.3
24601.1
Blue0
24550.9
28960.3
10560.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1056
#16
0.90.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2455
#28
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2477
#26
0.30.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2896
#21
0.30.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End