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Qual 142010 Midwest Regional
Red0
29050.6
27811.7
24620.2
Blue4
24320.6
34160.1
29493.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210134567804

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2781
#16
1.70.2
0.9→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.4
2949
#5
3.03.1
3.7→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2905
#22
0.60.2
0.8→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
2432
#28
0.60.3
0.2→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2462
#41
0.20.2
0.4→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
3416
#34
0.10.4
0.1→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—