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Red2
29050.6
27690.4
30671.0
Blue0
23582.6
17551.1
31770.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#32
1.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2358
#11
2.60.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2905
#22
0.60.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1755
#18
1.10.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2769
#26
0.40.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3177
#17
0.20.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End