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Red1
27690.4
17811.4
23640.3
Blue2
17390.9
29050.6
15250.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#15
1.40.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1739
#35
0.90.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2769
#26
0.40.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1525
#24
0.70.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2364
#19
0.30.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2905
#22
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End