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Red1
10001.1
27250.4
24620.2
Blue5
17551.1
17811.4
27091.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22051015202515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1000
#14
1.10.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1781
#15
1.40.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2725
#29
0.40.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1755
#18
1.10.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2462
#41
0.20.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.00.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End