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Qual 552010 Midwest Regional
Red2
21510.6
30610.8
29493.0
Blue1
23381.3
810.5
27690.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2949
#5
3.00.1
2.2→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
2338
#9
1.30.1
1.3→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3061
#8
0.80.1
0.9→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
81
#37
0.50.1
0.4→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2151
#27
0.60.1
0.3→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
2769
#26
0.40.1
0.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—