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Red8
17470.6
15012.9
10182.1
Blue2
20401.4
2921.7
10242.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.0
3.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1024
#15
2.10.1
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.10.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
292
#14
1.70.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
#24
0.60.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2040
#21
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End