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Red5
17200.9
31760.6
5541.5
Blue4
17600.7
23600.9
10242.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23014567854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#19
1.50.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1024
#15
2.10.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1720
#32
0.90.2
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2360
#22
0.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3176
#23
0.60.2
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1760
#28
0.70.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End