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Red3
2921.7
17470.6
15550.3
Blue1
16460.8
4610.8
27830.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#14
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2783
#25
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
#24
0.60.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1646
#33
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#39
0.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
461
#38
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End