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Red7
17600.7
15012.9
28670.8
Blue1
29090.2
15550.3
16460.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102681071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.2
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1646
#33
0.80.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2867
#29
0.80.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1555
#39
0.30.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1760
#28
0.70.2
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2909
#37
0.20.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End