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Red3
17411.6
8291.4
17470.6
Blue2
17200.9
27830.9
28561.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#13
1.60.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2856
#18
1.60.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
829
#8
1.40.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2783
#25
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
#24
0.60.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1720
#32
0.90.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End