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Red3
15290.8
27830.9
4471.2
Blue2
29090.2
13270.2
28670.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#10
1.20.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2867
#29
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2783
#25
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1327
#30
0.20.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#34
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2909
#37
0.20.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End