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Red1
5541.5
4610.8
23600.9
Blue2
15550.3
32321.3
28561.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#19
1.50.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2856
#18
1.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2360
#22
0.90.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1.30.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
#38
0.80.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1555
#39
0.30.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End