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Red22
3305.9
4699.5
3594.3
Blue18
10865.4
11147.6
20565.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201810152530352218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1114
Unranked
7.60.0
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
Unranked
5.90.0
5.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2056
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
359
Unranked
4.30.0
4.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1086
Unranked
5.40.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End