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Red12
3305.9
4699.5
3594.3
Blue9
10584.7
9105.5
3433.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2114010304050129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
9.50.1
9.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
910
Unranked
5.50.1
5.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
Unranked
5.90.1
6.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1058
Unranked
4.70.1
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
359
Unranked
4.30.1
4.54.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
343
Unranked
3.80.1
4.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End