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Red33
166.4
4699.5
11081.9
Blue0
1160.1
4942.9
8292.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174010203040330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
9.50.9
8.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
494
Unranked
2.90.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16
Unranked
6.40.9
5.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
829
Unranked
2.10.3
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1108
Unranked
1.90.9
1.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
116
Unranked
0.10.3
0.40.1
Auto
Teleop
End