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Red8
2174.3
17471.3
9105.5
Blue6
4612.7
17411.6
3594.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126051015202586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
5.50.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
359
Unranked
4.30.1
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
4.30.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
461
Unranked
2.70.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
Unranked
1.30.1
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1741
Unranked
1.60.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End