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Red12
4612.7
3992.6
2921.8
Blue3
8292.1
5372.2
16460.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66020406080123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
2.70.3
1.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
537
Unranked
2.20.2
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
Unranked
2.60.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
829
Unranked
2.10.2
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
292
Unranked
1.80.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1646
Unranked
0.70.2
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End