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Red5
8881.9
8682.5
16254.8
Blue15
17144.9
13270.4
15194.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99246810121416515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
4.80.2
4.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1714
Unranked
4.90.3
4.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
2.50.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1519
Unranked
4.90.3
4.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
888
Unranked
1.90.2
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1327
Unranked
0.40.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End