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Red15
16254.8
20623.0
16401.9
Blue4
19022.6
16460.7
1160.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10305152025154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
4.80.3
4.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1902
Unranked
2.60.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2062
Unranked
3.00.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1646
Unranked
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
Unranked
1.90.3
1.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
116
Unranked
0.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End