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Red11
15194.9
15923.8
31384.8
Blue4
19022.6
29493.6
5372.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1480510202530114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
4.90.1
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2949
Unranked
3.60.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
Unranked
4.80.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1902
Unranked
2.60.2
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1592
Unranked
3.80.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
537
Unranked
2.20.2
2.32.1
Auto
Teleop
End