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Red10
3433.8
10942.1
17324.5
Blue13
17471.3
16254.8
1183.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11905101520251013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
4.50.0
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1625
Unranked
4.80.2
4.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
Unranked
3.80.0
4.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
118
Unranked
3.40.2
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1094
Unranked
2.10.0
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1747
Unranked
1.30.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End