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Red20
4699.5
3594.3
3305.9
Blue18
1485.6
16254.8
677.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201851015253035402018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
67
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
Unranked
5.90.0
5.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
148
Unranked
5.60.0
5.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
359
Unranked
4.30.0
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1625
Unranked
4.80.0
4.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End