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Red4
33830.7
33160.4
26690.9
Blue2
22120.1
33510.5
19490.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2669
#11
0.90.3
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1949
#16
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.70.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3351
#19
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3316
#36
0.40.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2212
#46
0.10.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End