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Red1
33880.5
15780.4
15741.0
Blue0
30520.6
22110.3
30870.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#49
1.00.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3052
#20
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3388
#13
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2211
#34
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1578
#15
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3087
#39
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End