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Red3
16571.0
33390.4
26690.9
Blue0
19440.1
22130.3
22310.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#40
1.00.1
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2231
#41
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2669
#11
0.90.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2213
#44
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3339
#30
0.40.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1944
#47
0.10.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End