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Red5
33880.5
16901.1
30761.0
Blue1
30880.7
30890.4
16571.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013456751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1657
#40
1.00.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3076
#29
1.00.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3388
#13
0.50.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3089
#28
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End