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Red2
16620.6
19440.1
33780.3
Blue5
19571.0
30520.6
26721.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#43
0.60.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.20.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3378
#38
0.30.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1957
#10
1.00.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#47
0.10.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3052
#20Sur
0.60.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End