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Red5
30880.7
26721.2
30651.1
Blue6
19571.0
19370.5
30750.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3204681056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1957
#10
1.00.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3065
#27
1.10.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3075
#22
0.90.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
0.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End