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Red6
9311.1
23452.8
5252.3
Blue0
12081.7
9321.1
18101.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650248101260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.80.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1810
#12
1.80.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
525
#4
2.30.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1208
#21
1.70.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
931
#26
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
932
#11
1.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End