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Red4
19970.9
24611.1
23452.8
Blue2
17230.4
23340.4
23351.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810121442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.80.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2335
#22
1.10.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1723
#34
0.40.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1997
#36
0.90.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2334
#57
0.40.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End