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Red0
17640.9
19940.4
19390.0
Blue3
1350.6
9351.7
19821.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130468101203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#30
0.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
935
#8
1.70.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1994
#52
0.40.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1982
#17
1.00.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1939
#56
0.00.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
135
#43
0.60.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End