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Red5
9321.1
12091.2
9370.7
Blue5
18470.9
9351.7
21670.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21012345655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
935
#8
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
932
#11
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1847
#41
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
937
#24
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2167
#28
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End