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Red2
1350.6
8681.6
18101.8
Blue0
17770.3
18470.9
23540.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#12
1.80.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1847
#41
0.90.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#37
1.60.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1777
#51
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
#43
0.60.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2354
#47
0.20.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End