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Red2
24101.1
19821.0
23340.4
Blue0
21670.7
23570.5
17371.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220123456720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#20
1.10.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1737
#23
1.10.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1982
#17
1.00.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2167
#28
0.70.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2334
#57
0.40.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2357
#49
0.50.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End