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Red10
16253.2
18101.8
9671.0
Blue3
17632.3
20080.2
19940.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.7
1.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1763
#14
2.30.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1810
#12
1.80.7
0.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1994
#52
0.40.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
967
#31
1.00.7
0.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2008
#27
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End