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Red2
23340.4
17632.3
18470.9
Blue0
21640.9
19862.0
938-0.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23046810121420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1763
#14
2.30.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1986
#19
2.00.2
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1847
#41
0.90.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2164
#38
0.90.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2334
#57
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
938
#48
-0.10.2
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End