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Red5
20080.2
19821.0
18020.9
Blue2
9351.7
18061.4
18270.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#17
1.00.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
935
#8
1.70.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1802
#40
0.90.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1806
#29
1.40.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2008
#27
0.20.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1827
#54
0.30.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End