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Red5
16253.2
19821.0
24611.1
Blue4
19970.9
162.6
5252.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54026810121454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
16
#9
2.60.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
525
#4
2.30.0
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1982
#17
1.00.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1997
#36
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End