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Red2
29960.3
17770.3
28941.6
Blue3
23570.5
12091.2
12081.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13026810121423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2894
#16
1.60.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1208
#21
1.70.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2996
#50
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1.20.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1777
#51
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2357
#49
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End