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Red2
17640.9
17850.8
19840.2
Blue1
19940.4
28941.6
2874-0.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681012141621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#30
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2894
#16
1.60.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1994
#52
0.40.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#32
0.20.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2874
#39
-0.10.1
0.0-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End