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Red5
12091.2
18061.4
17770.3
Blue1
17640.9
21640.9
18250.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321234551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#29
1.40.2
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2164
#38
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.20.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1764
#30
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1777
#51
0.30.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1825
#42
0.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End