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Red3
22210.9
25870.9
29730.4
Blue3
29921.9
2311.3
20781.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
#11
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2973
#20
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
231
#14
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End