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Red0
13391.3
28170.7
19200.5
Blue2
21900.6
2311.3
13480.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456702

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#10
1.30.2
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
231
#14
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2817
#23
0.70.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2190
#13
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1920
#35
0.50.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1348
#30
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End