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Red3
2311.3
14212.2
3640.9
Blue9
29200.9
19271.6
29921.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52046810121439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.20.1
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.90.5
1.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
231
#14
1.30.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.60.5
1.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
364
#16
0.90.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
0.90.5
0.10.7
Auto
Teleop
End