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Red2
13480.4
13391.3
570.7
Blue4
25870.9
20781.8
13980.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#10
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.80.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57
#18
0.70.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
0.90.2
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1348
#30
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1398
#17
0.30.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End