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Red3
19121.7
28170.7
21830.1
Blue3
34111.1
20911.2
32280.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2817
#23
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2183
#26
0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3228
#24
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End